NFL MVP odds: Allen leads Mahomes, Brady in 2022 preseason odds


Josh Allen preseason
Aug 26, 2022; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Buffalo Bills guard Greg Van Roten (64), quarterback Josh Allen (17) and offensive coach Joe Brady watch as Carolina Panthers quarterback Sam Darnold (not pictured) is carted off the field during the second half at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

On paper, the NFL MVP odds in 2022 couldn’t be much tighter.

There are at least a handful of obvious contenders, not to mention plenty of compelling sleeper candidates to consider when looking at NFL MVP futures.

Out of all of the NFL awards predictions for the upcoming season, this could be one of the toughest. Nevertheless, we’re excited to offer NFL MVP predictions for the 2022 season. 

NFL MVP odds 2022

Naturally, only quarterbacks are serious contenders when looking at NFL MVP odds for 2022. That means the NFL MVP favorites this year are more or less the same as the preseason position rankings for that position.

Player Odds To Win 2022 NFL MVP
Josh Allen +700
Patrick Mahomes +800
Tom Brady +800
Justin Herbert +900
Aaron Rodgers +1000
Joe Burrow +1200
Russell Wilson +1400
Dak Prescott +1400
Matthew Stafford +1400
Kyler Murray +2000

All odds taken August 30 at FanDuel Sportsbook

However, the best player on paper doesn’t always equate to league MVP. Let’s take a closer look at the NFL MVP futures for 2022 to help you make NFL MVP predictions for the upcoming season.

Josh Allen, +700

It shouldn’t surprise anyone that Josh Allen is trending in the right direction and has the shortest NFL MVP odds in 2022. He’s entering his fifth pro season and has a great supporting cast around him, so he should be at the top of his game.

Allen has thrown over 35 touchdown passes in consecutive seasons and is also one of the league’s most dangerous quarterbacks with his legs. The Bills are also one of the leading Super Bowl favorites, so if Buffalo has the kind of season everybody expects, Allen will be frequently mentioned by folks making NFL MVP predictions.


Patrick Mahomes, +800

It’s hard to argue against Patrick Mahomes being a good bet to win MVP. He’s been the most dynamic player in the league for the last four seasons and already has an MVP award on his mantle.

Mahomes shouldn’t have a problem putting up MVP-worthy numbers, throwing for over 4,700 yards and at least 37 touchdowns in three of the last four seasons. The only catch is he won’t have Tyreek Hill to make plays for him, which could hurt him. But if Mahomes can quickly adjust to a new set of receivers, he’ll be in the MVP conversation.

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Tom Brady, +800

The older Tom Brady gets, the more impressive his on-field accomplishments become.

Of course, the guy led the league in passing yards and touchdowns last season, which would be impressive for a quarterback at any age. Clearly, there hasn’t been any drop-off in his performance. With all that he’s accomplished in his career, it’d be foolish to rule out Brady winning another MVP.

Justin Herbert, +900

Justin Herbert has become a trendy pick for MVP heading into his third pro season, especially after throwing for more than 5,000 yards in 2021. If he can take another step forward this year, Herbert will surely have numbers that will put him in the MVP discussion.

The catch is that he’ll have to limit his interceptions after throwing 15 picks last season. Herbert will also have to lead the Chargers to more wins and get them to the playoffs. If both of those things happen, Herbert will be in a great position to win MVP honors.

Aaron Rodgers, +1000

The NFL MVP odds in 2022 for Aaron Rodgers are rather long considering he’s won the award each of the last two seasons. If we haven’t seen any drop-off from Brady in his mid-40s, it’s reasonable to think that Rodgers can maintain a high level of play at age 38.

Nobody in the league is better at avoiding interceptions or being efficient with his passes. Rodgers also plays for a team that’s won 13 games in three straight seasons, which never hurts an MVP candidate’s chances. Granted, winning three straight MVP awards seems unlikely, but with Rodgers, it can’t be ruled out.

Joe Burrow, +1200

If Joe Burrow spends the entire 2022 season playing the way he did during the final month of the 2021 regular season and the playoffs, he’ll be hard to beat in the MVP race. He was in amazing form toward the end of the last campaign, and that was with a dreadful offensive line in front of him that’s been drastically improved during the offseason.

Of course, maintaining that same level for an entire season won’t be easy for a quarterback who still only has 30 career starts under his belt. 

Russell Wilson, +1400

While he’s never won MVP, we’ve seen Russell Wilson perform close to an MVP level in recent years. He’s only failed to make the Pro Bowl once in his career, so his level of play is always high and always consistent.

More importantly, Wilson is now playing on a better team in Denver and has a good chance to lead the Broncos to the playoffs, which would surely put him in the MVP discussion.

Dak Prescott, +1400

If the MVP award is a numbers game, Dak Prescott has to be looked at as a contender. During the last two full seasons that he’s been healthy, Prescott has averaged over 4,600 passing yards with a total of 67 touchdown passes in those two seasons.

He leads one of the most dynamic offenses in the NFL, so Prescott should have no problem putting up big numbers again.

However, after leading the league in fumbles last season, Prescott has to clean up his mistakes and make sure the Cowboys are one of the best teams in the NFC if he hopes to be a serious MVP contender.

Matthew Stafford, +1400

Now that Matthew Stafford has won the Super Bowl, could MVP be next?

With the receivers around him, Stafford is surely a quarterback who could potentially throw for over 5,000 yards, which would surely put him on the MVP shortlist.

Also, his team is likely to be one of the best in the NFL, which doesn’t hurt either. But after leading the league in interceptions last season, Stafford has to do better to limit his turnovers if he wants to be looked at as a potential MVP.





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Aug 26, 2022; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Buffalo Bills guard Greg Van Roten (64), quarterback Josh Allen (17) and offensive coach Joe Brady watch as Carolina Panthers quarterback Sam Darnold (not pictured) is carted off the field during the second half at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports On paper, the…